Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 7.984178 9.129833 10.395204 11.898697 13.639348 15.594632 17.962323
2025-07-20 6.539872 8.046377 9.845771 12.161879 15.076364 18.638231 23.345694
2025-07-27 5.771036 7.486391 9.655110 12.615547 16.578377 21.737353 29.023340
2025-08-03 4.960859 6.710471 9.024626 12.335705 16.994471 23.379124 32.900661
2025-08-10 4.377773 6.138130 8.558675 12.165961 17.466929 25.066643 36.959334
2025-08-17 3.916034 5.667519 8.160110 12.012038 17.897239 26.684327 41.049423
2025-08-24 3.526182 5.250666 7.782016 11.824496 18.223584 28.139714 45.016257
2025-08-31 3.187086 4.870185 7.411510 11.593901 18.433861 29.403767 48.785932
2025-09-07 3.056522 4.792629 7.488880 12.062173 19.791086 32.625373 56.182334
2025-09-14 2.870161 4.606642 7.373273 12.196740 20.597097 34.999505 62.382415
2025-09-21 2.672914 4.383356 7.173611 12.163949 21.101599 36.890389 67.920102
2025-09-28 2.476120 4.142542 6.921348 12.010982 21.368702 38.371272 72.849316
2025-10-05 2.387295 4.080200 6.970413 12.401502 22.673913 41.916663 82.291942
2025-10-12 2.286817 3.988402 6.959088 12.679390 23.795979 45.239332 91.738796
2025-10-19 2.223925 3.957119 7.050711 13.154053 25.340064 49.546550 103.807997
2025-10-26 2.058799 3.725604 6.756814 12.861324 25.332977 50.735134 109.318741
2025-11-02 1.924534 3.540485 6.533433 12.683772 25.536556 52.370738 116.027192
2025-11-09 1.804415 3.372556 6.328593 12.522777 25.754320 54.052367 123.057121
2025-11-16 1.690548 3.207852 6.116593 12.326627 25.874492 55.528923 129.794997
2025-11-23 1.581233 3.043855 5.893052 12.085463 25.870200 56.722820 136.001752
2025-11-30 1.558231 3.049630 6.009073 12.575214 27.538069 61.907293 152.916677
2025-12-07 1.500527 2.980571 5.966603 12.715967 28.424868 65.365457 165.895276
2025-12-14 1.429932 2.879725 5.850185 12.681668 28.899014 67.884844 176.747606